Atlantic Hurricane Season Remains Active with Two New Areas to Watch
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two new areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic, keeping the hurricane season alive and active. Currently, both areas have low development odds, but scientists are leveraging artificial intelligence to improve the accuracy of tropical cyclone forecasts. FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross spoke with Ferran Alet, a research scientist who works with Google DeepMind, about how these powerful computer systems are transforming the way meteorologists predict tropical cyclones.
New Approach to Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Alet stated that unlike conventional models that rely on extensive supercomputers and deterministic outputs, the AI approach generates multiple potential future scenarios in a fraction of the time. “It used to take a supercomputer multiple hours to run a forecast. And now with AI, you do it…in about a minute to generate one of these forecasts,” Alet stated. This new approach has shown promising results, with the AI model’s initial forecasts indicating a high likelihood of Hurricane Imelda moving offshore the Southeast, which aligned with later advisories.
The AI model’s ability to generate multiple scenarios quickly has significant implications for emergency managers and the public, who can use this information to make informed decisions ahead of a threat from a tropical system. Norcross and Alet also discussed potential enhancements that could help refine forecasts, including the use of more advanced algorithms and increased data resolution.
Current Tropical Weather Activity
Recently, Hurricane Imelda impacted Bermuda and is racing toward Northern Europe. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two additional areas of disturbed weather, but neither are showing signs of immediate development. One disturbance is located off the coast of Florida, while the other has yet to exit the coast of Africa. Even without further organization, the feature near Florida will help to produce heavy rainfall and rough surf conditions into next week.
Satellite view of Hurricane Erin off the U.S. East Coast on Aug. 21, 2025.
(FOX Weather)
Atlantic Tropics Overview
AI models for the wave along the African coast have been rather steadfast, with many showing the disturbance recurving well east of the U.S. and maybe even the Caribbean islands, but forecasters caution there is still a long way to go. Whichever system develops first will become known as Jerry – the tenth named system of the season. During an average season, 14 named tropical storms form, with around half of those strengthening into at least Category 1 hurricanes.
Atlantic tropics overview for Oct. 2, 2025.
(FOX Weather)
2025 hurricane season timeline
(FOX Weather)
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