Michael Burry’s Big Bets Still Move Markets—Even When He’s Wrong

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Michael Burry: The Enigmatic Investor with a Lasting Impact on Wall Street

Even when his calls miss, Michael Burry’s reputation keeps Wall Street watching his every move. Astrid Stawiarz/Getty Images

Michael Burry earned a whopping $800 million by shorting the U.S. housing market ahead of the 2008 financial crisis. Whether the famed investor has made comparable money since then is far less clear. Still, his reputation endures. Investors continue to closely track his high-profile bets, hoping to ride his coattails to similar gains.

Track Record and Performance

Burry ran the hedge fund Scion Asset Management and now publishes commentary through a weekly newsletter, though he discloses little about performance. He has also repeatedly deleted and reactivated his X account over the years, but remains active on the platform, where he has roughly 1.6 million followers and frequently posts cryptic market takes.

His celebrity status was cemented by the 2015 film The Big Short, which turned Burry into a household name. That visibility has granted him a level of credibility few investors retain for so long, even when their predictions miss the mark. According to Tom Sosnoff, founder of investment media network Tastylive, “People like superstars, and they love to listen to folks who they think are smart and successful. He is a personality and a contrarian. He is interesting and pretty famous in the world of finance. Love him or not, people listen to him.”

Nvidia and Palantir in the Crosshairs

Despite the uncertainty around his track record, Burry’s words still move markets. His recent bearish bets against Nvidia and Palantir have drawn particular attention, with Burry arguing that both sit at the center of an A.I.-driven market bubble. On Nov. 3, regulatory filings revealed that Scion had placed roughly $1.1 billion in bearish options positions tied to those companies.

According to David Trainer, CEO of A.I.-driven investment research firm New Constructs, “His logic is extremely good, and he has over a year to be right.” Trainer also backed Burry’s broader critique of A.I. hyperscalers, arguing that companies such as Oracle and Microsoft are using aggressive accounting practices, particularly around GPU depreciation, to flatter earnings.

The Cult of the Contrarian

Not everyone is convinced. Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management and a frequent contrarian himself, said Burry’s post-2008 track record is far less impressive than his reputation suggests. “When you look at the calls Burry has made since 2008, they have not been good,” he told Observer. “He has said ‘this is going to crash and that is going to crash’ many times since, and he hasn’t been right.”

NYU Stern professor Aswath Damodaran notes that “Michael actually is a good macro thinker and often willing to break away from the herd. But so are many other smart investors who never get noticed.” Damodaran also points out that fame often matters more than accuracy, and that “we live in a world where celebrities (movie, social media) have megaphones, and Michael is a celebrity because of the movie.”

Conclusion

Michael Burry’s enduring influence on Wall Street is a testament to the power of reputation and celebrity in the financial world. While his track record since 2008 is unclear, his willingness to challenge conventional wisdom and make bold predictions continues to captivate investors and market watchers. For more information on Michael Burry’s investment strategies and market insights, visit Here

Image Source: observer.com

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