Bryan Norcross: Atlantic disturbance fizzles whereas Hawaii watches Kiko

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Hurricane Season Update: Tropical System in Atlantic Fails to Gain Momentum

The tropical system, Invest #91L, in the Atlantic has been struggling to gain momentum due to dry and dusty air, making it difficult for the system to organize. According to the National Hurricane Center, the odds of the system developing into a tropical depression have dramatically decreased, with the chances now in the low range. This is despite the system producing more thunderstorms than it was yesterday, as seen in the satellite image.

The various computer models have also backed off developing the system, with some predicting it will dissipate completely, while others suggest it will turn north as a blob of moisture before reaching the islands, or bring it into the Caribbean as a gusty moisture surge affecting the islands around the middle of next week. Interestingly, two AI forecast systems, the European AIFS model and the Google DeepMind model, were the first to predict that the system would not develop in any significant way. As Decreasing odds of development. shows, the odds of development are decreasing.

Pacific Hurricane Kiko Continues to Roar

Fierce Hurricane Kiko is still roaring in the general direction of the Hawaiian Islands, with a doughnut-like structure, known as annular. This structure is expected to slow down the weakening process as the storm moves over cooler water. Currently, Kiko is at Category 4 strength and is forecast to only slowly weaken on its approach to the waters near or north of the Big Island about Tuesday. Swells from the hurricane are expected to reach the Big Island and Maui tomorrow and spread west through the Hawaiian chain next week.

Stay Informed and Up-to-Date

While the core of the storm is expected to pass sufficiently north of the islands, keeping the worst of the weather well offshore, it’s essential for everyone in Hawaii to stay informed about the latest developments on Kiko. The FOX Weather is your Hurricane HQ National Hurricane Center and local authorities will provide updates and warnings as necessary. For the latest information on Hurricane Kiko and the tropical system in the Atlantic, visit Here

Image Source: www.foxweather.com

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