Winter Outlook 2025-2026: A Tale of Two Forecasts
As the winter season approaches, two prominent forecasters, NOAA and the Farmers’ Almanac, have released their predictions for the upcoming winter. The forecasts, however, tell a different story, leaving many to wonder what the winter of 2025-2026 will actually bring.
Montana State Earth Sciences Prof. Eric Sproles joins FOX Weather to talk about the arrival of La Nina and its expected impacts on winter.
SILVER SPRINGS, Md. – A new battle is shaping up between the long-range winter outlooks for this upcoming season. NOAA released its annual winter outlook on Thursday, predicting a colder winter for the northern U.S. while the southern tier will experience a warmer-than-average winter. 
NOAA’s winter temperature outlook for 2025-26.
(FOX Weather)
NOAA’s Forecast: A Cold and Wet Winter
NOAA uses a mix of long-range climate computer models and atmospheric trends, such as the arrival of La Niña, to base its long-range outlooks. With that, NOAA anticipates a bone-chilling winter for the northern tier and Upper Midwest – meaning the winter could be even more frigid than usual. LA NINA ARRIVES. HERE’S WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE US WINTER 
NOAA’s seasonal precipitation outlook for December 2025 to February 2026.
(FOX Weather)
“This set of conditions does slightly elevate the potential for colder temperatures in the central and eastern U.S., so also supports favored below-normal temperatures in the Upper Midwest,” NOAA forecasters said. And for others, it might be time to get your umbrella ready. The forecast also indicates wetter-than-average conditions for the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes region and most of Alaska.
The Farmers’ Almanac: A Wild Ride Ahead
Both of the almanacs say they use their own proprietary – and secret – formulas to come up with their long-range forecasts. But this year, the forecasts they predicted are nearly the polar opposite. 
The Farmers’ Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook.
(FOX Weather)
The Farmers’ Almanac says this winter season calls for “dramatic swings and widespread winter weather.” It’s expected that the northern Plains to New England will experience the coldest temperatures. And the Northwest should prepare for a cold winter as well. In other areas of the country, like the East Coast, residents should expect significant rain mixed with snow, while the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and north-central states are set for a classic winter wonderland.
Old Farmer’s Almanac: A Calmer Winter Ahead
Unlike NOAA and The Farmers’ Almanac, the Old Farmer’s Almanac says it will be a calmer, gentler winter. Temperatures are expected to be slightly milder across the country with extended dry stretches. But the Almanac says some regions should “brace for a sharper chill.” 
Old Farmer’s Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook.
(Old Farmer’s Almanac)
“Don’t lose track of your snow shovels and umbrellas,” says Editor Carol Connare. “Most areas will experience near-normal to slightly milder temperatures, but from the Appalachians south through the Southeast and Florida, and westward across the Ohio Valley, we’re predicting a colder-than-normal winter.” For now, all we can do is wait to see what the outcome turns out to be. But maybe start dusting off those snow shovels and grab those winter jackets just in case. Read more about the winter outlooks Here
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