Unprecedented Calm in the Atlantic: Understanding the 2025 Hurricane Season
As the Atlantic basin experiences an unusual period of inactivity, many are left wondering if this calm is a sign of a quiet hurricane season. According to historical data, such quiet stretches are not unprecedented. In 2024, the Atlantic basin did not produce a single storm between August 20 and September 9, while in 2022, the basin went two full months without a named storm, including the entire month of August, which is usually the second-busiest month for tropical cyclone formation.
FOX Weather Meteorologist Steve Bender shares the latest updates for Tropical Storm Fernand, as it is no longer expected to become a hurricane.
Factors Contributing to the Inactivity
Satellite images and forecast models show little activity across the tropics, a stark contrast to the traditional late August and early September surge in cyclones. Meteorologists point to dry air and persistent troughing along the U.S. East Coast as potential causes for the lack of cyclones, with few signs it will abate anytime soon. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) is also lagging across all other oceans of the Northern Hemisphere.
If it weren’t for Hurricane Erin, which trekked across the Atlantic for two weeks and spent days as a major hurricane, the basin would be significantly below ACE standards. Erin produced over 85% of the season’s energy to date. 
Hurricane season 2025 tracks
(NOAA)
Implications for the Remainder of the Season
While named storm formation has been close to average, the lack of stronger hurricanes is noteworthy and could certainly become a focus of future research. Experts at Colorado State University were expecting about half of the Atlantic tropical cyclones to reach hurricane strength this year, but the actual current verification is less than 17%. For seasonal outlooks to come close to verifying, about 70% of the remaining storms would need to reach hurricane intensity – a difficult benchmark, even in the most active years.
Updated hurricane season forecast from CSU.
(FOX Weather)
Preparing for the Peak Season
Long-range hazard outlooks produced by NOAA indicate the Atlantic could become significantly active again in the mid to late September time frame, outside the scope of some computer models. The FOX Forecast Center cautions against complacency, especially in coastal areas, as it only takes one destructive hurricane to make a season memorable. In 2024, Hurricane Helene did not form until September 24, while Hurricane Milton didn’t develop until early October.
2025 Hurricane Season Names
(FOX Weather)
For more information on the 2025 hurricane season, visit Here
Image Source: www.foxweather.com
